Nothing is certain in what has become a 2024 Arizona high school football season filled with surprises. Just when you think one team has paved its way to a championship, the improbable happens. And, if you think the Open playoffs will be fun, wait for what could be a loaded 6A bracket filled with old guard giants.
Let's rewind the big moments of Week 10 and look ahead at what's to come.
What we learned: Queen Creek is for real
Where's Queen Creek been hiding?
The Bulldogs have spent the season under the radar, quietly winning games behind dual-threat quarterback Tait Reynolds, The Arizona Republic's No. 1 prospect in the state in the 2026 class. But they aren't quiet anymore after giving Mesa Red Mountain its first loss of the season, winning 28-23, after trailing 14-0 in the first quarter.
Queen Creek trailed 17-14, before outscoring Red Mountain 14-6 in the final quarter to improve to 7-1 and put itself in the driver's seat for the 6A East Valley Region, which has become the toughest region in Arizona.
"Proud of the way our guys competed last night," coach Travis Schuerman said. "We got down 14-0 and they didn't panic.
"It is the type of game you hope you can be involved late in the season. Hats off to Red Mountain. They had no quit in them."
High school football:Queen Creek deals Red Mountain first loss of season behind Tait Reynolds
Teams make cases for Open playoffs
It's going to be a wild, wild finish with teams in the East Valley, and, for that matter, in the 5A Northeast Valley Region, beating each other up. No gimme games in the second half of the season for teams in both regions out of two conferences.
A week after losing a 16-14 heartbreaker to Red Mountain on a late field goal, ALA Queen Creek (7-1) bounced back with a defensively dominant 26-7 win over Gilbert Highland (6-2). Highland shouldn't lose out on an Open spot, considering how much of a gauntlet that East Valley Region is. But now the Hawks absolutely must beat Queen Creek next week to make the state's top playoff bracket.
Queen Creek put itself in the Open, despite the Week 3 21-12 loss to Gilbert Perry, which is fading after Friday's loss to a Williams Field that has struggled without quarterback Kody Guy. Guy started on Friday but played just a quarter, still not 100% from the injury that forced him to miss the last three games, all losses. Williams Field is 4-1 with Guy starting.
An AIA computer formula might not be ideal this season selecting the eight teams for the Open. It keeps putting two to three 5A teams into the Open field. Marana (9-0) has been ranked No. 1 by the AIA in both of its Open ratings so far. That's a stretch. It's a good team, but stacked against the top 6A teams, it will be a struggle to hold up, even if wide receiver Dezmen Roebuck is playing like he's from another planet.
Horizon keeps winning, the most recent on a walk-off, 35-yard field goal by Palmer Podwika to beat Higley 27-24 on Thursday night. But the Huskies (7-1), as fun as it's been to watch them succeed under first-year head coach Tyson Ditmore, might have a hard time winning an Open game. But the Huskies, who have beaten Desert Mountain (7-1) and Higley (5-3) in back-to-back weeks in the 5A Northeast Valley Region, have proven a lot of people wrong this year. They have a heady quarterback in Jase Ashley, who makes plays with his arm and legs.
Looks who's finishing strong
When Peoria Centennial fell to 2-5 after last week's 31-21 loss to Queen Creek, it might have looked like the time to abandon hope on the Coyotes. But that ended up being a quality loss, after what Queen Creek did to Red Mountain. But the Coyotes could be back in the 6A playoff mix after Friday's 49-3 win over Scottsdale Chaparral, a game in which quarterback Kainan Manna got his mojo back, receiver Nikko Boncore broke out, and the defense stepped up, sparked by an interception return for a touchdown by Gavin Gardner.
A Chandler-Centennial 6A football final would be a great game. The Wolves seem out of the Open playoff picture after Friday's loss to Basha. But there are other 6A teams that won't go away, such as Phoenix Pinnacle, which is revving up at the right time, behind QB Wyatt Horton. Pinnacle just put up 62 points in a rout of Phoenix Sandra Day O'Connor and now gets a Centennial team that might have finally found its footing.
Centennial continues to use two quarterbacks with sophomore Ethan Beltran having strong moments when he's on the field. Never seen so many two-quarterback systems in the state before, but if it works, go for it.
Is Basha No. 1?
Basha keeps presenting a strong case as the top team, especially after shutting out Chandler 17-0 in the second half, after one of the wildest first halves of a game in the state this season. Chandler led 27-21 on Carter Ochoa's 31-yard catch-and-run as time ran out in the first half. But, without starting QB Will Mencl, who got hurt in the second quarter, Chandler's offense never passed the 50-yard line in the second half, as Basha's Brodie Verhs dialed up big plays with his arms and legs, having to improvise at times after plays broke down.
Basha was ranked No. 1 in The Republic's latest Super 10, but others see Peoria Liberty as No. 1 in Arizona (The Republic has them No. 2). Liberty still hasn't lost to an Arizona team since the 2022 Open state semifinal to Saguaro. The Lions dominated Saguaro after the first quarter on Friday in a 43-14 win to improve to 7-1, the only loss coming to Corona (California) Centennial. Basha's only loss was to an out-of-state team, as well, a 35-32 setback at Mission Viejo (Calif.), which is now 9-0 and ranked among the top 10 teams in the country.
Around the state
Arizona high school football:Final scores, schedules for Week 10
Looking ahead
Several key matchups on Friday. Included is another Northeast Valley Region gauntlet game between Cactus Shadows and Horizon. Cactus Shadows rallied to beat Notre Dame Prep 28-21. Pinnacle plays at Centennial to see how far the Coyotes have come since the 1-4 start. And Queen Creek will try to be Open ready at Highland.
Richard Obert has been covering high school sports since the 1980s for The Arizona Republic. He also covers Grand Canyon University athletics and the Arizona Rattlers. To suggest human-interest story ideas and other news, reach Obert at [email protected] or 602-316-8827. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter:@azc_obert