The National Hurricane Center is tracking an area of low pressure in the Atlantic, located off the coast of North Florida, in the wake of floods that hit North Carolina last week.
The system is forecast to move west into the Gulf Monday night through Tuesday morning. It currently has a 30% chance for tropical development over the next seven days and a 10% chance over the next 48 hours.
Though the storm is moving away from the Tar Heel State, the National Weather Service is expecting a wet week ahead for Western NC and the Piedmont, and has issued some weather warnings.
Here's what to know about the system, what it could mean for NC, and more.
Is a storm forming in the Atlantic?
An area of low pressure located off the east coast of Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, according to the 8 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
This disturbance is forecast to move westward across Florida during the next day or so, and into the northeastern Gulf by late Tuesday.
Environmental conditions appear favorable, and some gradual development of this system is possible. At the same time, it moves westward to west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of this week.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of this week.
The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter.
What do the colored, hatched areas on the NOAA map mean?
The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone, which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome.
The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system is to develop, with yellow indicating a low likelihood, orange indicating a medium probability, and red indicating a high likelihood.
The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception.
"If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said.
Will the storm affect North Carolina?
Regardless of development, an increase in showers and thunderstorms can occur from the Carolinas into Florida and along parts of the Gulf coast, which can lead to localized flooding. Rough surf and rip currents can also occur," according to AccuWeather.
A hazardous weather outlook was issued at 2:10 a.m. on Monday, July 14, for northeast Georgia, Piedmont, Western North Carolina, and Upstate South Carolina. The outlook warns of afternoon thunderstorms that could produce damaging wind gusts and potentially heavy rainfall, leading to isolated areas of heavy flooding.
Asheville, NC weather radar July 14, 2025
Asheville, NC weather forecast July 14, 2025
Monday, July 14 - A 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89 degrees. Light north-northwest wind. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts are possible in thunderstorms.
Overnight, a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1 a.m. Patchy fog after 1 a.m. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 66 degrees. Light and variable wind. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts are possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday, July 15 - Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3 p.m. Patchy fog before 9 a.m. High near 90 degrees. Light and variable wind. The chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Overnight, showers and thunderstorms before 2 a.m., then a chance of showers. Low around 68 degrees. Calm wind. The chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch, except higher amounts are possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday, July 16 - Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5 p.m. High near 87 degrees. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. The chance of precipitation is 80%. Overnight, showers and thunderstorms are likely before 2 a.m., followed by a slight chance of showers between 2 and 3 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68 degrees. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday, July 17 - Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5 p.m. High near 87 degrees. The chance of precipitation is 80%. Overnight, showers and thunderstorms are likely, mainly before 7 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67 degrees. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday, July 18 - Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5 p.m. High near 89 degrees. The chance of precipitation is 80%. Overnight, showers and thunderstorms are likely, mainly before 7 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68 degrees. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
2025 hurricane season so far
An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.
Here's when this year's named storms have developed, compared to historical averages:
Hurricane names for 2025 season
Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them:
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season, during which time 97% of tropical cyclone activity occurs, runs from June 1 to November. 30.
The Atlantic Basin encompasses the northern Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico. The NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using "Gulf of America" instead of "Gulf of Mexico" on maps and in advisories in accordance with President Donald Trump's order.
Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK - Florida, contributed to this post.
Iris Seaton is the trending news reporter for the Asheville Citizen Times, part of the USA TODAY Network. Reach her at [email protected].