GRANGER — When Jeff and Jeanine Bilik built their home in the Terri Brooke North subdivision in 1994, they were surrounded by young families and often saw small children playing on their street.
Today they still hear a few young voices outside but the pace is much slower, more likely to include neighbors in their 40s, 50s and 60s doing yardwork or enjoying a walk.
The Biliks’ son, age 30, is a doctoral student in music in Texas and has said he has no plans to ever return to Granger, and their daughter, 25, lives in Indianapolis with her fiancé. Jeanine is a retired South Bend Community School Corp. teacher and Jeff retired in June as a mechanical engineer.
The house is bigger than they need now but they have no plans of moving anytime soon. Jeff just built an extra garage in the back yard.
“It’s paid for,” said Jeff, 63, originally from the Fort Wayne area. “All we have are property taxes and utilities. In this general area you’re not going to find a cheaper place to live. Property taxes are low. It’s a good neighborhood. I’m happy here. There are tons of lakes close by. If I want to fish I can go do that.”
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The Biliks aren’t alone. After growing from 20,241 to 28,284 from 1990 to 2000, a 40% increase, and rising another 8% to 30,465 in 2010, Granger’s population declined by 128 residents to 30,337 in 2020, according to figures the Census Bureau recently released. Thought it's only a drop of about half a percentage point, it was the unincorporated area’s first-ever population decline in a decennial head count.
Lori Johnston, a realtor with Cressy & Everett, said she was surprised to hear of the decline.
“I feel like there is still a good flow of young families moving to the area for jobs and it still feels like a lot of them do want the suburban area,” Johnston said. “I definitely see a lot of Notre Dame families moving into the area still who want Granger, for (Penn-Harris-Madison School Corp.) or specific schools within P-H-M.”
But Johnston acknowledged she does see a lot of older couples moving out, both among her clients and her neighbors in the Covington Shores subdivision, which was built in the early 2000s.
Johnston said some older Granger homeowners are selling now to capitalize on inflated prices in a seller’s market while others are staying put because they don’t want to also pay more for their next home. Still others are selling and renting until the market cools down.
The Census numbers also seemed “a bit surprising” to Ken Lindsay, trustee of Harris Township, which, along with part of Clay Township, encompasses most of Granger. Since he took office in 2015, Lindsay has spearheaded upgrades to the township’s park on Brummit Road and in late 2016 built a new park on township-owned land on Elm Road between the fire station and library. The park offers pickle ball, a form of tennis on a smaller court that often appeals to older adults, but also a basketball court, playground and baseball/softball diamond.
“Both of those parks are always busy,” Lindsay said. “There’s a lot of use of that. Lot of families, lot of young people taking advantage of that. Lot of people living in subdivisions, lot of people taking advantage of that Granger path.”
Lindsay noted there are new subdivisions under construction. Local developer Pat Matthews is building The Hills at St. Joe Farm, northwest of Bittersweet Road and the Toll Road, initially planning 230 homes with room for up to 500. Off Ash Road, south of Cleveland Road, Portage, Mich.-based Edwin Allen Homes is building Pleasant Valley North, an extension of the Pleasant Valley subdivision built in the 1990s.
“Every time you turn around somebody is taking any small piece of undeveloped land, or a large one if they can get it, although there aren’t too many large ones, and just putting houses in,” Lindsay said.
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Homes in both developments will cost $300,000 to $500,000, what Rock Hill, S.C.-based demographer Jerome McKibben called “move-up homes,” meaning they will likely attract “internal migration” from families already living in smaller or older Granger homes. The homes those buyers sell, probably priced at $180,000 to $200,000, will likely attract millennial parents from South Bend and Mishawaka, McKibben predicts.
That, combined with the more important trend of younger city couples buying from empty nesters after they downsize or die over the next decade, should result in a slight increase in Granger’s population in the 2030 Census, McKibben said. But he noted that because millennials are finishing college and having children later than previous generations, there might not be as many home buyers in the millennial generation, now roughly age 25 to 40, as older sellers.
“We’ve already seen some areas of the country over the last 20 years where the number of sellers has exceeded the number of buyers, and we’ve watched the home prices just plummet,” he said. That might sound like great news for millennials, especially in this market of inflated prices, but it’s not so great for Baby Boomers and older Generation Xers who were planning to retire on all the equity in their homes, he said.
McKibben, who has contracted with P-H-M and most other area school systems for 15 years to help them forecast enrollment trends, said Granger's decline lines up with what he’s seen in communities around the country. In 2015 he advised P-H-M to start admitting more out-of-district students, raising eligibility from second to third grade, if it wanted to avoid enrollment declines, and the corporation took his advice.
As a result, McKibben said, P-H-M has about 500 more out-of-district students than it had in 2015 but its enrollment has remained “basically flat.”
Another factor at play in Granger's decline has been redevelopment of the area south of the Notre Dame campus. As people move into the area from out of town to take jobs at the university, Johnston, the realtor, said more are drawn there in addition to Granger.
The Census tract immediately south of campus added 636 residents from 2010 to 2020.
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For at least the near future, the Biliks, who once were busy driving their kids to school activities and coaching their sports teams, think they’ll continue to enjoy their more leisurely life in Granger. Sometimes they think about downsizing to a villa or spending a few weeks a year in Tennessee, where friends have cabins.
“But he enjoys working on cutting the grass and stuff, it’s like a therapy,” Jeanine said.
“It just makes sense,” Jeff said. “I’ve got everything I need here. I can fit stuff. I just don’t have the energy to try to get rid of everything and move it right now.”
Their daughter has already asked them to move to Indianapolis once she’s married with children. They might consider that to be closer to their grandchildren.
“And when I need to be spoon-fed,” Jeff quipped.